0%

· x report · 3 min read

B1049

Starship Florida Launch Targeting 2026 | KeepTrack X Report

SpaceX is pushing to launch Starship from Cape Canaveral before end of 2026, with contractors ramping work at LC-39A.

SpaceX is pushing to launch Starship from Cape Canaveral before end of 2026, with contractors ramping work at LC-39A.

Latest Developments

SpaceX is accelerating its East Coast Starship campaign, with ground infrastructure work at Kennedy Space Center’s Launch Complex 39A advancing toward a potential first Florida launch before the end of 2026. This would give SpaceX a second launch site for its massive Super Heavy/Starship stack, dramatically increasing cadence potential for both commercial and NASA Artemis missions. Meanwhile, the Starlink constellation continues its relentless growth, with 12,414 satellites launched to date, 10,735 currently in orbit, and 10,719 actively working — a network scale that a higher Starship flight rate would serve to expand even further.

Space Safety

The current Starlink conjunction picture reveals a critical HIGH risk event involving STARLINK-4621 and the defunct SL-18 R/B on Jul 9, 2026 at 23:44 UTC, with a minimum separation of just 0.011 km and maximum collision probability of 1.0—this represents an acute conjunction threat requiring immediate attention. Beyond this high-risk case, six additional MODERATE risk events are identified involving operational and partially operational Starlink units through mid-July 2026, while the reentry prediction picture shows five Starlink satellites in active decay predictions with estimated reentry windows spanning Jul 5-7, 2026. TIP data indicates manageable reentry uncertainty with prediction windows ranging from 180 to 1140 minutes, though continued monitoring is warranted given the rapid decay dynamics typical of end-of-life Starlink vehicles.

Risk Starlink Sat Other Object Status Min Range (km) Rel Speed (km/s) Max Prob Time of Closest Approach
HIGH STARLINK-4621 SL-18 R/B Non-operational 0.011 14.173 1.0 Jul 9, 23:44 UTC
MODERATE STARLINK-30464 STARLINK-36196 Operational 0.048 10.027 0.1285 Jul 4, 22:40 UTC
MODERATE STARLINK-5106 STARLINK-32760 Operational 0.049 10.192 0.1211 Jul 11, 06:11 UTC
MODERATE STARLINK-5400 STARLINK-5781 Partially Operational 0.053 6.407 0.1203 Jul 7, 15:32 UTC
LOW STARLINK-36967 LEMUR-2-AFFIE-WAUWIE Operational 0.038 7.332 0.0733 Jul 8, 04:03 UTC
Satellite NORAD ID Predicted Decay Window (min) Inclination Lat Lon
STARLINK-5140 56147 Jul 5, 00:11 UTC 180 43° -39.4° 159°
STARLINK-1905 46746 Jul 6, 05:17 UTC 540 53° 1.9° 47.4°
STARLINK-1944 46796 Jul 6, 16:02 UTC 780 53° -37.6° 83.4°
STARLINK-1876 47161 Jul 6, 22:05 UTC 1080 53° -38.7° 100.7°
STARLINK-1531 46572 Jul 7, 05:54 UTC 1140 53° -14.7° 77.6°

Detailed Coverage

Starship’s Florida Debut Could Come Before Year’s End

SpaceX and its contractors are pressing hard to complete ground systems at Launch Complex 39A in time for a Starship launch attempt from Cape Canaveral in 2026. Work spans the launch mount, flame trench, deluge system, and associated propellant infrastructure — all of which must be built to handle the roughly 17 million pounds of thrust generated by the 33 Raptor engines of the Super Heavy booster.

A successful Florida launch would be a landmark moment for the program, unlocking higher launch frequency by operating two geographically separate pads simultaneously. It also positions SpaceX to better serve polar and high-inclination orbits directly from the East Coast, which could have downstream implications for Starlink constellation shell replenishment and expansion into new orbital regimes.

Read the full story: NASASpaceFlight.com

Constellation Status

There have been no changes to the Starlink constellation since the last check. The constellation currently consists of 12,414 total satellites launched, with 10,735 in orbit, 10,719 actively working, and 1,679 that have decayed.

  • Total Launched: 12414
  • Total On Orbit: 10735
  • Total Working: 10719

Track Starlink satellites in real-time: Track Starlink


B1049

B1049 is a retired Falcon 9 first stage booster who completed 10 successful orbital missions between 2018-2022. Known for exceptional fuel efficiency (4.72% above fleet average), B1049 has landed on both drone ships and landing zones, achieving a perfect touchdown record despite COMPLETELY UNRELIABLE weather predictions.

Related Posts

View All Posts »

Learn more about the topic

NROL-72 Spy Satellites Launched; Starlink PNT Blocked | KeepTrack X Report

NROL-72 Spy Satellites Launched; Starlink PNT Blocked | KeepTrack X Report

SpaceX's 13th NRO proliferated-arch mission lifted off May 11 as Starlink shuts its GPS-rival feature ahead of a looming IPO.

Space Brief 3 Feb 2025

Space Brief 3 Feb 2025

Today's brief covers SpaceX's continued Starlink expansions, Japan's successful Michibiki satellite launch, and challenges faced by India's navigation satellite. Stay updated on crucial satellite events and launches.

Dragon Delivers 6,500 lbs to ISS; Zenk Space Eyes June Orbital Debut | KeepTrack Space Brief

Dragon Delivers 6,500 lbs to ISS; Zenk Space Eyes June Orbital Debut | KeepTrack Space Brief

SpaceX Dragon berthed ISS with 6,500 pounds of cargo May 17. China's Zenk Space raised $26M, targeting June for Zhihang-1 rocket's orbital debut.

X Report 17 Dec 2024

X Report 17 Dec 2024

SpaceX executes a rapid response GPS mission for the U.S. Space Force, Starlink extends its reach with a beta smartphone connectivity service by T-Mobile, and Starship approaches its seventh launch with readiness milestones.