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· x report · 5 min read

B1049

Starship Flight 12 Targets Mid-May Launch, X Report 2 May 2026

Starship Flight 12 status for May 2026: SpaceX targets mid-May with a revised trajectory, while Starlink 10-38 lofts 29 satellites from Cape Canaveral.

Starship Flight 12 status for May 2026: SpaceX targets mid-May with a revised trajectory, while Starlink 10-38 lofts 29 satellites from Cape Canaveral.

Latest Developments

SpaceX is targeting mid-May for Starship’s twelfth integrated flight test, with revised trajectory plans signaling meaningful changes from prior missions as the program pushes toward full reusability. On the Starlink front, the Starlink 10-38 mission successfully deployed 29 satellites from Cape Canaveral on May 1, continuing the steady cadence that has built the constellation to 10,280 operational satellites out of 10,296 in orbit across 11,877 total launched. Meanwhile, investor and industry attention is broadening beyond the constellation itself, with analysts examining the longer-term opportunity in orbital data center infrastructure that ventures like SpaceX are positioning to enable.

Space Safety

The current Starlink conjunction threat landscape shows four moderate-risk events concentrated within a six-day window in mid-April 2026, with the highest-risk conjunction involving STARLINK-33563 and COSMOS 2251 DEB at 0.012 km minimum range and 39.7% collision probability. No HIGH-risk conjunctions are currently flagged in the SOCRATES dataset; however, the prevalence of moderate-risk events with non-operational debris objects warrants continued monitoring. Additionally, TIP predictions indicate 10 Starlink satellites with imminent reentry decay epochs spanning May 1–4, 2026, with decay windows ranging from 1 minute to 2,880 minutes (48 hours), reflecting varying degrees of prediction uncertainty.

Risk Starlink Sat Other Object Status Min Range (km) Rel Speed (km/s) Max Prob Time of Closest Approach
MODERATE STARLINK-33563 COSMOS 2251 DEB Non-operational 0.012 11.318 0.3973 Mon, 13 Apr 2026 21:44:26 UTC
MODERATE STARLINK-5601 DELTA 1 DEB Non-operational 0.014 8.499 0.3479 Sat, 11 Apr 2026 06:26:32 UTC
MODERATE STARLINK-33680 FLOCK 4G-17 Operational 0.024 12.627 0.1287 Thu, 09 Apr 2026 13:55:36 UTC
MODERATE STARLINK-35339 THEA Operational 0.022 14.110 0.1272 Sat, 11 Apr 2026 01:33:34 UTC
LOW STARLINK-32841 YAOGAN-43 01D Operational 0.038 9.497 0.0672 Sat, 11 Apr 2026 14:30:11 UTC
LOW STARLINK-36431 WT 1B Unknown 0.052 1.153 0.0450 Tue, 14 Apr 2026 13:45:48 UTC
LOW STARLINK-32376 OBJECT AD Operational 0.046 11.243 0.0441 Sun, 12 Apr 2026 08:38:10 UTC
LOW STARLINK-30245 SL-19 R/B Non-operational 0.037 14.371 0.0441 Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:55:26 UTC
LOW STARLINK-35657 ION SCV-008 Operational 0.041 13.969 0.0390 Sun, 12 Apr 2026 19:09:57 UTC
LOW STARLINK-31383 TEVEL2-7 Operational 0.038 14.746 0.0384 Wed, 08 Apr 2026 19:55:14 UTC
Satellite NORAD ID Predicted Decay Window (min) Inclination Lat Lon
STARLINK-2238 48584 May 01, 20:00 UTC 1 53.0° 30.0° 106.6°
STARLINK-1832 46780 May 02, 04:13 UTC 1,080 53.0° -46.3° 20.6°
STARLINK-32730 62447 May 02, 17:20 UTC 1,440 53.2° -7.7° 312.8°
STARLINK-4349 53044 May 03, 03:10 UTC 2,880 97.6° 7.1° 233.8°
STARLINK-1799 46699 May 03, 11:24 UTC 2,880 53.0° 53.1° 338.1°
STARLINK-33906 63785 May 03, 17:50 UTC 2,880 43.0° 1.7° 327.6°
STARLINK-1975 47573 May 04, 08:47 UTC 2,880 53.0° 31.9° 59.0°
STARLINK-31761 59615 May 04, 08:48 UTC 2,880 43.0° 0.6° 57.9°
STARLINK-1567 46038 May 04, 09:28 UTC 2,880 53.1° -52.4° 105.6°
STARLINK-5228 54180 May 04, 16:52 UTC 2,880 53.2° -47.2° 277.3°

Detailed Coverage

SpaceX Eyes Mid-May Window for Starship Flight 12 with Revised Trajectory

SpaceX is preparing to return Starship to the skies with Flight 12 potentially just weeks away, following regulatory filings and airspace notices that point to a mid-May launch window. The mission is expected to feature a revised flight trajectory compared to previous attempts, a detail that suggests SpaceX engineers have implemented meaningful changes to the vehicle’s ascent profile or landing approach in response to lessons learned from Flights 10 and 11.

For satellite trackers and constellation watchers, a successful Starship flight remains critical to SpaceX’s long-term ambitions — the vehicle is slated to eventually launch next-generation Starlink V3 satellites in batch deployments far larger than current Falcon 9 missions can achieve. Every flight that advances Starship’s maturity brings that high-density deployment cadence closer to reality.

Read the full story: NASASpaceFlight


SpaceX opened May with a smooth Falcon 9 launch from Pad 40 at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, lifting off at 2:06:10 p.m. EDT on May 1 carrying 29 Starlink broadband satellites on the Starlink 10-38 mission. The deployment adds to a constellation now standing at 10,296 satellites in orbit, of which 10,280 are actively working — a testament to the high operational efficiency SpaceX has maintained across the shell.

The booster’s recovery and the mission’s routine execution underscore how thoroughly Falcon 9 has industrialized LEO access. With Starship still in development, Falcon 9 remains the sole workhorse sustaining Starlink’s incremental growth, and missions like 10-38 keep the network’s capacity and redundancy creeping steadily upward ahead of any future V3 generation expansion.

Read the full story: Spaceflight Now


Orbital Data Centers: The Investment Opportunity Forming Behind the Hype

While SpaceX’s proposed orbital computing infrastructure remains years from operational reality, analysts and investors are already mapping the secondary opportunities it could unlock — from edge AI processing to sovereign cloud alternatives for governments unwilling to rely on terrestrial hyperscalers. SpaceNews reports that capital attention is beginning to shift toward ventures positioned to sit on top of orbital data center capacity once it exists, even as the underlying platforms are still in early conceptual stages.

For Starlink observers, the relevance is direct: SpaceX has floated the idea of integrating computing nodes into future satellite generations, which would transform the constellation from a pure connectivity play into a distributed processing network. If that vision advances, the orbital mechanics and slot-management challenges tracked by tools like KeepTrack would become as important to enterprise IT planners as they currently are to space situational awareness analysts.

Read the full story: SpaceNews

Constellation Status

There have been no changes to the Starlink constellation since the last check. The constellation currently consists of 11,877 total launched satellites, with 10,296 remaining in orbit, of which 10,280 are operational, while 1,581 have decayed from orbit.

  • Total Launched: 11877
  • Total On Orbit: 10296
  • Total Working: 10280

Track Starlink satellites in real-time: Track Starlink


B1049

B1049 is a retired Falcon 9 first stage booster who completed 10 successful orbital missions between 2018-2022. Known for exceptional fuel efficiency (4.72% above fleet average), B1049 has landed on both drone ships and landing zones, achieving a perfect touchdown record despite COMPLETELY UNRELIABLE weather predictions.

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